Path Dependence, Lock-In, and Resilience Traps
Path dependence, lock-in, and resilience traps explain why systems often remain stuck in vulnerable, unjust, or unsustainable arrangements even when risks are visible. This article examines how past decisions, sunk investments, infrastructure, institutional routines, political power, social dependence, technological standards, and ecological feedbacks can narrow future options and preserve harmful pathways. It shows why resilience is not always positive: some systems are resilient in maintaining pollution, exclusion, poverty, fossil-fuel dependence, degraded ecosystems, or maladaptive development. The article argues that escaping lock-in requires more than awareness or incremental reform. It requires viable alternatives, adaptive governance, public legitimacy, just transition support, reversibility, coalition-building, and transformative capacity. True resilience is not simply the ability to endure; it is the ability to leave damaging pathways behind and move toward more just, livable, and sustainable futures.









